Bundesliga market values: Florian Wirtz up by 10% – Alphonso Davies among many Bayern downgrades

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157 updates 

There are 157 changes as part of the Bundesliga market value update, and Bayer Leverkusen are once again on the up while Bayern Munich drop by €47 million even though Aleksandar Pavlovic is one of the biggest winners of the update. The reason behind Bayern’s significant drop in squad value are downgrades for top stars like Joshua Kimmich, Leroy Sané, and Alphonso Davies. Leverkusen aside, VfB Stuttgart are the club with the hottest stock. While the squad value was just €116.6m at the end of the summer transfer window, Stuttgart’s market value is now €277.9m. Fuelling Stuttgart’s rise in squad value are German national team players Chris Führich, Deniz Undav, Waldemar Anton, and Maximilian Mittelstädt. 

Leverkusen have two players with the German national team; one of them is the hottest talent in European football: Florian Wirtz. Wirtz has been dragging Leverkusen towards the club’s first-ever Bundesliga title and has been upgraded by €10m to now €110m. Together with Jamal Musiala and Harry Kane, Wirtz is now the most valuable player in the Bundesliga. “Wirtz is now on the same level as Musiala at the top of German football,” Bundesliga market value admin Julius Weißenstein said. “Wirtz has caught up to Musiala by playing an outstanding season.”  

Wirtz is one U21 player with a significant increase in market value. Another player, who is having a fantastic season and is being rewarded with an increase in market value, is RB Leipzig’s Xavi Simons. On loan from PSG, Simons has scored nine goals and 13 assists in 36 games across all competitions this season. The 20-year-old Dutchman has been lethal both as a no.10 but also as a winger, and while Leipzig would like to keep him, given Simons’ development and Kylian Mbappé’s departure from Paris, keeping the attacking midfielder will be difficult for the Bundesliga side. Either way, Simons arrived with a market value of €40m, and another increase of €10m in this update has almost doubled his evaluation at Leipzig to now €70m.  

Market values Bayern Munich: Seven players downgraded – Pavlovic up

While Musiala and Kane remain unchanged, seven Bayern players saw their market values drop. Kimmich (-€15m to €60m), Sané (-€10m to €70m), Davies (-€10m to €60m), Dayot Upamecano (-€10m to €50m), Min-Jae Kim (-€5m to €55m), Leon Goretzka (-€10m to €30m) and Mathys Tel (-€10m to €40m) are all downgraded. 

Two names stand out. Kimmich and Davies. “Alphonso Davies has been playing an inconsistent season in which he has struggled with injuries,” Bundesliga market value admin Tobias Kröger said. “Even after the update, he remains the most valuable left-back in the world—together with Nuno Mendes and Theo Hernández—but he is no longer considered the benchmark. Over the last few weeks, he, at times, lost his starting position to Raphaël Guerreiro. Fundamentally, Davies still provides a fantastic overall package, which is why Real Madrid is interested. While Bayern are trying to resign Davies long-term, Real are very much part of the conversation.” 

Davies is one of the downgraded players at Bayern who stands out. Another is Kimmich. “Kimmich is one of the faces of Bayern’s inconsistent season,” Weißenstein said. “He is now used as a right-back at Bayern and in the German national team and has lost his status as an undisputed player. As a result, Kimmich suffered the biggest drop in market value in his career.” Altogether, Bayern’s squad value dropped by €47m to now €929m, which in the international rankings puts the Bundesliga giants just ahead of Chelsea and Liverpool in fifth place. 

The only player with a significant upgrade is Pavlovic. Nominated by Nagelsmann for Germany but out with an infection, Pavlovic saw his market value increase from €2m to €25m, the biggest upgrade for any player in the Bundesliga. “Even during Bayern’s weaker periods, Pavlovic stood out,” market value admin Frederic Hillman said. “He is dynamic, has good vision and is always measured on the ball. On top of that he was able to stand out on several occasions and has been nominated for Germany.” 

Bundesliga market values: Dortmund drop despite Maatsen upgrade

On the up in terms of squad values is Stuttgart; within the Bundesliga, the Swabians rose from fifth to fourth place and internationally from 50th to 39th thanks to a squad value upgrade of €41.5m to €277.9m. The highest squad value for Stuttgart since the introduction of market values on Transfermarkt in 2004. Ten Stuttgart players saw their market values increase: among them Enzo Millot (+€5m to €30m) and German national team players Undav (+€5m to €22m), Anton (+€8m to €18m), Mittelstädt (+€9m to €14m) and Führich (+€8m to €25m). 

Führich stands out. “This season, the quick winger has finally managed his big breakthrough,” Bundesliga market value expert Hillman said. “It isn’t just the nomination to the national team but his consistently strong performances for the biggest surprise team in the Bundesliga that make his latest upgrade consequential.” 

Over at Dortmund, Donyell Malen (+€5m to €40m) received a new personal highest market value after scoring 13 goals for his club. The Dutch forward was a candidate for a transfer last summer but is one of the few players with an upgrade in Dortmund. Another player is Ian Maatsen (+€10m to €30m), who is currently on loan from Chelsea and received a personal record market value. The exit clause for the loanee is €40m, and Bayern Munich now have him on the radar as a potential Davies replacement. 

While Malen and Maatsen are up, the squad value overall at Dortmund sunk by €1.5m to €463.7m because three upgrades are countered by five downgrades (all new Dortmund market values at a glance). Dortmund, therefore, continue to drop behind Leverkusen (+€28m to €595m) and RB Leipzig (+€13.3m to €497m).

How Transfermarkt market values work

The Transfermarkt market values are calculated, taking into account various pricing models. A major factor is the Transfermarkt community, whose members discuss and evaluate player market values in detail. In general, the Transfermarkt market values are not to be equated with transfer fees. 

The goal is not to predict a price but an expected value of a player in a free market. Both individual transfer modalities and situational conditions are relevant in determining market values. Examples of this are listed below. Transfermarkt does not use an algorithm (you can find the detailed market value definition here).

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